Are Happy Days Here Again?

We awoke Thursday morning to some very positive economic news—Wells Fargo reported a better-than-expected first quarter profit of $3 billion surging the company’s stock by 32% and boosting shares of many other big banks as investors bet that Wells Fargo’s peers may also post results that exceed Wall Street’s estimates. The hope by all involved is that the banking sector is stabilizing. Much of Wells Fargo’s recent success is in part related to the recent increases in mortgage loan applications which could be a strong sign that consumer confidence is on the rise.

Also revealed this week is the fact that new jobless claims fell more than expected. The Labor Department said Thursday that the tally of initial jobless claims fell to a seasonally adjusted 654,000 from a revised 674,000 the previous week. Analysts expected claims to drop to 660,000

This week there were so many positive headlines that, rather than provide you with my ongoing synopsis, I thought I’d give it to you straight from the horse’s mouth. Yes, even the media is now on board with the positive headlines which tells me that the market is definitely changing.

• New jobless claims, trade gap fall; retailers see signs of hope; http://www.usatoday.com/money/economy/2009-04-09-jobless-trade_N.htm
• Big rally on Wall Street; http://money.cnn.com/2009/04/09/markets/markets_newyork/index.htm?postversion=2009040918
• The case for buying a home right now; http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123913901841798375.html
• With affordability up, home buyers are returning to the market; http://www.nahb.org/news_details.aspx?sectionID=0&newsID=9000
• Outlook on economy is brightening; http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/07/us/politics/07poll.html?_r=1&scp=23&sq=economy&st=nyt
• Real Estate Outlook: Promising Numbers; http://realtytimes.com/rtpages/20090407_realestateoutlook.htm Denver: 10 Cities
• Where Americans Are Relocating; http://www.forbes.com/2009/03/30/americans-moving-cities-lifestyle-real-estate-relocating_slide_2.html?thisspeed=25000

Now what should we do with these positive stories? Don’t look a gift horse in the mouth! Spread the word. One of the biggest challenges hindering our sector right now is low consumer confidence. We’ve just finished three years of a very gloomy and challenging time in United States real estate. And while this optimism can’t yet be explained by official statistics, which lag behind the current market by 30-60 days, pendings are up in many markets and units sold are certainly on the rise. It’s time to target our family, friends and clients alike and educate them on the opportunities and possibilities in today’s market. The time is right now. The market is poised for a rebound. With the $8,000 first time home buyer tax credit, the historically low interest rates, the high rate of affordability—we couldn’t be in a better position for a rebound. Read my lips: spread the word! Tell your friends. Tell your family. If you’re considering buying a home, now may just be the perfect time.

Until next week,
Have a great one,

Dan Christensen